Even though I’m a reasonable person, I admire those who go out on a limb to make bold predictions, even when those predictions are illogical and counter to the best evidence we have. Take this Huffpost entry for example:
I want to make sure that you heard it here first: Donald Trump will lose the New Hampshire primary tomorrow.
Bold words. I applaud the author for taking such a stand despite the fact that polls clearly showed Trump with a lead that greatly exceeded the polls’ margin of error.
What will the author do after being proved wrong, though?
Option 1 – Stick to his guns. Double down by railing against the voters convinced by Trumps’ message.
Option 2 – Admit his mistake.
Option 3 – Remain silent.
It’s hard to admire anyone who responds to defeat by being a bad sport or simply walking away from the table (see Newton, Cam). It’s also hard to respect someone who makes excuses.
Is the only reasonable choice to admit the mistake?
It’ll be interesting to see which choice Huffpost makes.